Win the Future? | Onboard the Speed Train to Hyper Inflation

Obama Fails to Address Inflation in State of the Union

National Inflation Association

One thing from last night's State of the Union address is very clear, Obama is not serious about cutting spending and nobody in Washington has any expectation of the U.S. ever returning to a balanced budget.

President Obama’s State of the Union address last night did not make one single mention of inflation, when it is the belief of NIA that massive price inflation (especially food inflation) will become America’s top crisis by the end of this calendar year. Obama’s speech also failed to mention the Federal Reserve, the Federal Funds Rate being held near 0% for over two years, and the Fed’s latest round of $600 billion in quantitative easing. Unless Obama addresses our nation’s fiat currency system, nothing else he says has any meaning at all.

After the U.S. lost 8.36 million jobs over a two year period from December of 2007 through December of 2009, our economy has recovered 1.12 million jobs as a result of the Federal Reserve and U.S. government spending $4.6 trillion on bailouts and stimulus programs. That is over $4 million spent for each job created. Instead of bailing out Wall Street and allowing non-productive bankers to receive record bonuses, the U.S. could have sent a check for $550,000 to each middle-class American who lost their job.

When a central bank prints trillions of dollars out of thin air, you are going to see some type of a nominal uptick in economic statistics. Obama can brag all he wants about over 1 million jobs being created, but he continues to ignore what the ultimate cost of it will be. When a government has an annual cash budget deficit of over $1 trillion that cannot possibly be balanced by raising taxes, massive inflation is the inevitable outcome. Our real budget deficit, once you include increases in our unfunded liabilities for Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, is already north of $5 trillion. NIA believes the U.S. is now at serious risk of experiencing hyperinflation by the year 2015.

Obama proposed in his speech that “we freeze annual domestic spending for the next five years” saying it “would reduce the deficit by more than $400 billion over the next decade, and will bring discretionary spending to the lowest share of our economy since Dwight Eisenhower was president.” The truth is, Obama’s proposals, if successfully implemented, would not reduce the deficit by $400 billion over the next decade. They would only cut $400 billion from proposed spending increases. NIA doesn’t understand why Obama would even waste his breath talking about reducing the deficit by $400 billion over the next decade, when the Federal Reserve is creating $600 billion in monetary inflation over a period of just eight months. Americans who listened to Obama speak last night wasted over an hour of their time, because until the Federal Reserve raises interest rates and stops printing money, it will be impossible for the U.S. economy to truly recover and become healthy.

Even if the U.S. government cut all discretionary spending down to zero, we would still have a budget deficit from Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid alone. Surprisingly, Obama admitted that most of the cuts he proposed “only address annual domestic spending, which represents a little more than 12% of our budget.” When referring to the Deficit Commission’s proposed spending cuts, Obama said “their conclusion is that the only way to tackle our deficit is to cut excessive spending wherever we find it”. In what was Obama’s most shocking statement of the night, he went on to say, “This means further reducing health care costs, including programs like Medicare and Medicaid, which are the single biggest contributor to our long-term deficit.”

This is the closest Obama has ever come to admitting that major cuts to Medicare and Medicaid are necessary, if we want to have any hope of ever balancing our budget. However, NIA is taking Obama’s comments with a grain of salt. He immediately changed the subject in the very next sentence, claiming his health care reform law that was enacted last year “will slow these rising costs”. He then continued to defend the law saying, “repealing the health care law would add a quarter of a trillion dollars to our deficit.”

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